Buy Gold to Reduce Risk
What is a "balanced" portfolio?
Why should mixing different asset classes make your portfolio much less risky.
Here is an explanation and some of the maths behind this useful risk reduction method. Most portfolios are highly correlated to just the stock, bond or property markets and when disaster strikes all of these markets can fall simultaneously. Precious metals however can provide some insurance against this outcome.
Gold and silver are volatile, but generally uncorrelated to other assets so they can be used to reduce your risk. Throughout history Gold and Silver have been real money. The dollar, pound, euro and yen are just pieces of paper ("fiat" money) and have no actual value. If the dollar or any other major currency collapses gold and silver should retain their value.
Balanced Portfolio Theory
- Disclaimer
- Buy Gold Bars
- Balanced Portfolio Theory
- Some books about gold and silver investing
- The Maths (Skip this section if you prefer)
- Insure Yourself Against Devaluation
- Buy Gold Bars on eBay...
- How to Get Exposure to Gold and Silver
- Buy Gold Coins on eBay
- Pros and Cons of Owning Physical Gold and Silver
- Other Useful Sites
- Please leave me some feedback.
- Follow AndyPo
Disclaimer
Balanced Portfolio Theory
Buy gold to reduce your risk
A simple rule of investing states that the higher the risk of an investment the higher the return. This is the Risk Premium: The amount you get paid for taking the extra risk. So if you want to make lots of money you need to take more risks. It is however possible to reduce the risk by building a balanced portfolio.The risk of buying a single share is high with many possible unknown influences on the share-price and future dividends. Buying two shares results in some reduction of risk because a crash in one share price may not affect the other one adversely. Many shares are highly correlated to each other, so having two shares in the same field (e.g. BP and Shell) does not reduce the risk as much as two shares in unrelated industries (e.g. BP and Lloyds) Similarly mixing shares with other asset-classes will also improve volatility of the over-all portfolio (e.g. mixing shares, bonds, property and gold bars)
Skip the maths in the next section if you prefer - this is just for illustration
Some books about gold and silver investing
The Maths (Skip this section if you prefer)

Unfortunately these parameters are not readily available so accurately determining the optimum values for relative weights in the portfolio is difficult, but the equation does highlight the importance of uncorrelated assets. As the number of assets increases the value of xi2 gets far smaller and the first term of the equation far less significant and if the covariance σij is small the second term is also small:
If N >> 1 then xi << 1
A portfolio with equally weighted investments in 10 uncorrelated assets would result in a risk of:

i.e. If each asset has equal risk the total risk is just a tenth of the risk of the individual assets. This of course is an extreme example, but does demonstrate the principle.
Insure Yourself Against Devaluation
Financial advisors often provide a range of different suggested portfolio distributions depending on the income requirements and risk profile of the investor, how long before the money is required and what volatility or losses could be tolerated. Generally higher risk portfolios will consist of smaller shares or foreign equities and high-yield or emerging market bonds, income portfolios are usually blue-chip shares and bonds and low risk portfolios mostly government bonds and cash. In all cases mixing many assets with low correlation from different countries and different industries will reduce the risk. Gold is uncorrelated to other asset classes and tends to retain value even when other types of fiat money fall in value.
Many advisors recommend having 5% to 10% of gold, silver and other precious metals in your investment portfolio. This can be in the form of mining shares, ETFs, mutual funds although at least some of it should be in the form of real physical gold. Coins and gold bars can be bought from a broker with a significant premium over the value of the gold, alternatively there are always a lot of gold sovereigns and krugerands available on eBAY for a price close to the actual bullion value of the gold.
How to Get Exposure to Gold and Silver
Coins and gold bars can be bought from a specialist coin dealer, but with a significant premium over the value of the gold, typically more than 10% for small quantities of coins to perhaps as low as 5% for large quantities of low quality bullion coins. High quality or rare coins will be more expensive, but should also retain that extra value.
In the UK Sovereigns have a tax advantage over other coins, because they are legal tender and therefore capital gains tax does not need to be paid on any increase in value. They are however a little disappointing at just 0.22 ounces, so you need a big pile of them. South African Krugerands are popular as they exist in various sizes including a full 1 ounce coin, but tend to be a little cheaper than other coins because they are considered less attractive.
An alternative and cheaper way to buy gold coins is on eBay, which is very easy and quite low risk. There are always a lot of gold sovereigns and krugerands available on eBAY for a price close to the actual bullion value of the gold. This is how I have purchased all of my physical gold.
Another, riskier, method for gaining gold or silver exposure is through spread-betting. I have written a separate lens on how to use spread-betting to reduce portfolio risk:
Spreadbetting
Pros and Cons of Owning Physical Gold and Silver
So why don't I just buy lots of gold and forget about shares, bonds, cash...?
Gold Does not pay a dividend
Shares, bonds and property investments often pay a dividend (or a "coupon" or rent), so even when markets go down you still get an income. Gold does not. It just sits there looking shiny.
Gold needs to be stored
Physical gold in the form of bars or coins needs to be stored safely somewhere. If it is just worth a few thousand dollars you can keep it under the bed and not worry too much, but for large amounts of gold you will need to pay a small premium for storage at a bank or insurance or of course you could buy a safe.
For large investments in gold an exchange traded fund (ETF) can make a sensible alternative (e.g. Lyxor Gold, GBS tracks the value of gold) without the storage hassles.
Investing in Physical Silver
Physical silver is also an interesting thing to buy for investing, but it is worth far less than gold, per ounce, so a significant investment in silver takes up a lot of space. Antique silver however is quite inexpensive compared to scrap silver and could be quite collectable.
Other Useful Sites
-
Investment and Money Making Ideas for the UK
-
Confused by the complexities of the UK savings and investment schemes and tax laws: PEPs; Pensions; ISAs; SIPPs etc.? This lens is all about some good investments available in the U.K. the ways to reduce your tax bill and improve your return. Pleas...
-
Great Investment and Money Making Ideas
-
Ever been stuck for investment ideas. This article attempts to cut through some of the jargon and provide some safe and not so safe investments. Follow the links below for tips about how to make money, save money, invest money and reduce the risk of...
-
Lensography: Retire Young and Travel The World...
-
I am a semi-professional travel photographer (i.e. I once sold a few photos) and semi-retired consultant physicist (i.e. unemployed boffin) but with a keen interest in finance (i.e. how to get rich quick) I live in Richmond-upon-Thames in West Londo...
(by 5 people)
Fetching new data from eBay now... please stand by

