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NFL Picks Against the Spread

1 - I can do better 2 - Jury's out 3 - Pretty darn good 4 - Splendiferous 5 - Awesometastic (by 0 people)   Your rating: 1 - I can do better 2 - Jury's out 3 - Pretty darn good 4 - Splendiferous 5 - Awesometastic

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Back for the 2007-2008 Season!

 

Free Week by Week Picks Against the Spread in the NFL. Also, analysis and explanation behind each pick.

NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 3 (Lines Updated 09/19/2007 8:42PM) 

The format goes as follows, Favorite, Spread, Underdog, (Over/Under), +My Pick+ against the spread. Home Team in CAPS

Week 3
BALTIMORE -8 vs. Arizona (35) +ARI+
The Cardinals are looking to be a little more effiecnt with a running game. Matt Leinart looked solid and wasn't sacked last week.

NEW ENGLAND -17 vs. Buffalo (42) +BUF+
It's hard to justify any situation with an opening spread of 17. Even with their spectacular performance last week against the Chargers, I'm going to have to go with the heavy underdog. Don't get me wrong, the Bills are going to lose, but proabably by 14.

PHILADELPHIA -7 vs. Detroit (44½) +DET+
I love Calvin Johnson. He makes the Lions look like real contenders. They just need to get a running game to become an actual threat.

Indianapolis -4½ vs. HOUSTON (47) +IND+
Andre Johnson is out. Matt Schaub will look like Matt Schaub. Plus the Texans DB to QB matchup is a positive for the Colts.

N.Y. JETS -3 vs. Miami (??) +MIA+
Green would be solid if it weren't for those pesky interceptions. Luckily for him, the Jets havent forced many this season (zero to be exact).

KANSAS CITY -3 vs. Minnesota (??) +MIN+
The Cheifs just aren't finding it. And with LJ in a slump, and Minnesota being effective at stopping the run, I don't see him getting out of it this week.

San Diego -5½ vs. GREEN BAY (43½) +SD+
The Packers are looking strong, but their weakness at stopping the run should prove to be beneficial to LT, who needs this kind of game.

PITTSBURGH -9 vs. San Francisco (38) +SF+
The Niners look stopped Stephen Jackson last week, a position that helped the Steelers in Willie Parker. Frank Gore shows that he can play no matter what.

TAMPA BAY -4 vs. St. Louis (38½) +TB+.
It seems that running in this league is harder this year. The Buc were efficient in stopping the run last week which means that Stephen Jackson might have another tought week ahead.

SEATTLE -3½ vs. Cincinnati (51) +CIN+
Forget who wins, I'm betting the over.

OAKLAND -3 vs. Cleveland (40) +CLE+
With the Raiders defense struggling and the Browns offense getting back on track, the Browns should have a W on their hands.

DENVER -3½ vs. Jacksonville (35½) +DEN+
Gerrard had some decent numbers, but that shouldn't continue if Bly and Baily have anything to say about it.

Carolina -4 vs. ATLANTA (36½)+CAR+
The Delhomme-Smith connection is stronger than ever and it has helped Panthers look sharp.

WASHINGTON -4 vs. N.Y. Giants (40½) +WAS+
Tough game to call, but the Giants D has been very giving.

Sunday Night Football
CHICAGO -3 vs. Dallas (42) +DAL+
Chicago didnt win last week because of offense. Dallas has a strong Offense that can overcome the stingy Chicago D.

Monday Night Football
NEW ORLEANS -4½ vs. Tennessee (45) +N.O.+
Just waiting for them to turn this thing around. The Titans defense gave up a lot of yards to Manning and the Colts. And we all know Brees like going for the long bomb.

NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 2 (Lines Updated 09/16/2007 11:28AM) 

The format goes as follows, Favorite, Spread, Underdog, (Over/Under), +My Pick+ against the spread. Home Team in CAPS

This week was horrific. No excuses. As of this evening, I am 4-11. I believe CBS is doing an experiment where they are seeing if analysts are actually useful by comparing the analysts results to several random methods such as coin tosses and a dog. If their experiment is true, which I hope its not, then my efforts here would be fruitless. But either way, I will continue to analyze, because
hey, everyone has a bad week right?

UPDATE: 4-12 for the week.

Week 2
JACKSONVILLE -10½ vs. Atlanta (34½) +JAX+
With Vick out, it doesn't look like they are going to find a rythym this season

PITTSBURGH -10 vs. Buffalo (39½) +BUF+
Steelers looked amazing last week...against the Browns.

Cincinnati -8 vs.CLEVELAND (42) +CIN+
Cincy looked strong even against the Raven. Their D kicked it up a notch.

N.Y. GIANTS -1 vs. Green Bay (37½) +NYG+
The Giants ability to hold on even in situations where it seems futile makes
them my pick for this week.

CAROLINA -7 vs. Houston (38½) +HOU+
I think Houston will still lose, but the spread seems bloated seeing as how
Houston did beat an AFC playoff team

Indianapolis -7½ vs. TENNESSEE (45½) +IND+
I would say this is a lock, but its football, so nothing is certain. But the
Titans only beat the Jags by 3 last time around. That not going to cut it with
the Colts.

New Orleans -5 vs. TAMPA BAY (41½) +NO+
Tampa Doesn't seem to have an offense and I hope in week 2, the Saints can bring
theirs.

ST. LOUIS -3 vs. San Francisco (44) +STL+
I wouldn't bet on this one unless you're a diehard fan who really like risks

Dallas -4 vs. MIAMI (40½) +DAL+
Once again, not going to say "lock", but c'mon.

DETROIT -3½ vs. Minnesota (43½) +DET+
Detroit? The favorite? Really? Calvin Johnson did look good...

Seattle -3 vs. ARIZONA (42½) +SEA+
Seattle just has the experience at QB

CHICAGO -13 vs. Kansas City (34½) +KC+
Chicago will win, if they can put ANY amount of points on the board. But its not
going to be 13 more than KC

BALTIMORE -10 vs. N.Y. Jets (33) +BAL+
Baltimore held in there with the high-powered Bengals, while the Jets where
blown away. It might have been the spycam, but the Jets did not look like they
were ready fir the regular season just yet.

DENVER -10 vs. Oakland (37) +OAK+
Both teams look shaky, so I don't see either team getting ahead by this far.

Sunday Night Football
NEW ENGLAND -4 vs. San Diego (46½) +SD+
Game of the Year. The Pats could never contain LT, and look for him to exploit
that.

Monday Night Football
PHILADELPHIA -7 vs. Washington (39) +PHI+
The Eagles look to be back on track with the rest of them.

Superbowl 2008 

These are the elite eight when it comes to winning to Superbowl in 2008. Criteria for selection was 15-to-1 or better odds. Note: These odds add up to more than 100%, but thats just how it works. I don't make the spread, I just try to beat it.

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kathysuggests

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Posted April 21, 2008

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Posted August 13, 2007

the4starish

Yes, after further analysis, I realized that a rookie QB going against the Defending NFC champs, on his first start, is a daunting task. A side note, I'm also leaning on changing my pick for the Pittsburgh vs. Tampa Bay game, but not just yet.

Posted December 01, 2006

Seth

Wait, so you changed your pick for the Sunday Night Game - Denver vs. Seattle?

Posted December 01, 2006

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