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NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The United States is deep in its worst housing slump since the Great Depression, and according to a new report, it's not going to get better any time soon.

In a new survey, Moody's Economy.com says many metro areas will record losses of 20 percent or more during the downturn, with the national median price for single-family homes dropping 13 percent through early 2009. Factoring in discount offers from sellers, the actual price decline would be well over 15 percent.

Eighty of the 381 metro areas covered by the report will record double-digit losses, according to the report. Most of the worst-hit markets are in once high-flying areas, such as California and Florida.

The steep losses were bound to arrive sometime. Throughout the housing slump, which began in the summer of 2006, experts kept expecting prices to tumble, but it wasn't until recently that they dropped substantially, according to Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody's Economy.com.

"There has been a sea change in seller psychology since the subprime shock this summer," he said. "Sellers now realize they have to drop their prices to make a sale and prices are coming down very rapidly in some markets."

One such place is Punta Gorda, Fla. In Moody's outlook, prices there will undergo the steepest correction of any U.S. market. From their peak during the first three months of 2006, to their bottom, forecast for the second quarter of 2009, prices will decline 35.3 percent. That's in nominal dollars; adjusted for inflation, the loss will be even greater.

Other metro areas expected to go through crushing price drops include: Stockton, Calif., where prices are forecast to drop 31.6 percent, Modesto, Calif. (-31.3 percent), Fort Walton Beach, Fla. (-30.4 percent) and Naples, Fla. (-29.6 percent).

The worst hit market outside the Sun Belt is expected to be Ocean City, N.J. where prices will fall 24.9 percent, according to Moody's. Prices in St. George, Utah (-21.8 percent), Grand Junction, Colo. (-18.9 percent) and Atlantic City, N.J. (-18.6 percent) will also suffer. In the Washington, D.C. metro area, Moody's forecasts a decline of 18.4 percent.

Home prices are being pulled down by an even more severe decline in home sales, which Moody's expects to bottom out in early 2008, when unit sales will be down more than 40 percent from their peak.

Home builders continued to add to inventory even as the slump got well under way, contributing to what is now an 11-month back-log of homes for sale, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Many of these homes are sitting completely empty: The Census Bureau reported a total of 2.1 million vacant homes for sale. Vacant homes add pressure on prices because owners of these houses are usually more willing to slash prices to move the properties. They cost out-of-pocket cash each month while providing neither income nor shelter.

Even though home construction has now contracted severely - the Census Bureau reported Tuesday that new housing starts were down to an annualized rate of 1.187 million units in November, the lowest in 16 years - it will take time to work through the excess inventory.

The housing slump will have a substantial impact on the overall economy, according to Moody's, which says it will depress real gross domestic product by more than a percentage point this year and by 1.5 percentage points in 2008.

Speculative investment in the mid-2000s helped fuel the current slump. Zandi pointed out that 16 percent of mortgage originations during 2005 were for non-owner-occupied housing, twice the number of a few years earlier.

"And that's a very conservative estimate of investor demand," he said. "Many home buyers lied on their mortgage applications." That's because interest rates are lower for owner/occupied dwellings.

Buying for investment was especially prevalent in many resort areas, such as Ocean City, N.J. Many buyers were betting they could hold onto the property for a short time and sell it for a quick profit, a difficult feat to finesse, considering the high transactional costs. Many speculators came late to the party and got caught in the slump. Now their properties are adding to mountainous inventories.

Another factor was excessive new home construction, especially in once hot markets. As prices skyrocketed, builders rushed to take advantage of the increases, contributing to the now high inventories.

Also adding homes to markets was the increase in foreclosure filings. When lenders take back properties, they put them back on the markets. Foreclosures have just about doubled this year.

For the slump to end, much of the excess inventory will have to be worked through. Zandi doesn't envision that happening much before 2010, which he forecasts to be a very modest recovery year with low, single-digit growth. To top of page

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Bank Forclosures By Troy Francis

Bank foreclosures are homes or properties that are owned by banks or lenders. The banks own them because they are the result of foreclosure. Previous owners of the property or home had fallen behind in their mortgage payments and the bank foreclosed on them. Bank foreclosures are actually one of the easiest and safest ways to buy foreclosures.

One of the big reasons that bank foreclosures are easy to buy and less is that you get to deal directly with the bank themselves. Banks are interested in selling their foreclosed properties because they are not making money on homes that they own. Some banks advertise some of their bank foreclosures in the classified ads or market them through a real estate company. However, their fist goal is to sell these homes and finance a mortgage for another buyer. You can typically buy bank foreclosures 10-20% less than market value homes. While this is may not be as good of a rate as you can get for other types of foreclosures, bank foreclosures are good and easy purchase and make a good option for first time buyers.

Another reason why bank foreclosures are easy to buy is there are generally no other judgments or liens on the property for you to be concered about. There are usually no back taxes to be concerned about. That can be a difficult thing to worry about, and buying bank foreclosures saves you those concerns. The bank is also usually very good about letting you look at the property and to have various inspections. Bank foreclosures have many advantages.

When buying bank foreclosures, there is always some room for negotiation on the price. You can negotiate a lower down payment, a lower APR, money for closing costs. However, as the buyer, you need to ask for these things, and be real in your request. Banks are not going to give their bank foreclosure properties away; they need to make money on these properties for their interest. There are flexible lenders out there though, and it makes lots of sense to look for them when you are looking for bank foreclosures. A flexible lender can make a big difference in getting the deal you want that property of interest.

It is not hard to find good bank foreclosure homes. You can go online. You can find information by contacting your realtor. Locating bank foreclosures can also be done with a bank foreclosure listing service. They will provide the listings for you. Listing services offer foreclosure information in one place thus making it very convenient.

According to Wikipedia

Foreclosure is the equitable proceeding in which a bank or other secured creditor sells or repossesses a parcel of real property (immovable property) due to the owner's failure to comply with an agreement between the lender and borrower called a "mortgage" or "deed of trust". Commonly, the violation of the mortgage is a default in payment of a promissory note, secured by a lien on the property. When the process is complete, it is typically said that "the lender has foreclosed its mortgage or lien."

Buying Pre-Foreclosures Learn The Art of Buying Before the Sale

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The advantages to buying properties from homeowners in default can only be measured by the individual investor. Some do not see enough reward, some think it's too risky, while others are plagued by moral issues. Are you helping the troubled homeowner or taking advantage of his misfortune?
Both the lender and the homeowner lose in a foreclosure action. Neither want it to happen. Both parties are motivated to resolve the situation. Motivated parties are key to the process.

The investing window of opportunity opens the day the Lis Pendens, the notice that a legal action is pending, is filed. The window closes the day the property is sold at auction. The time between these two events enables an investor to work with the homeowner and lender to create a workout strategy or a purchase of the property from the homeowner before the sale date.

The amount of time the window remains open depends solely on state and local laws, as well as the behavior of the property owner. Some states sell properties within 90-120 days from the first notice of default. In New York, the process can take a year or more.

As for the moral question, keep in mind that by dealing with a homeowner in default, you not only help him, you generally rescue the loan and maintain the value of the property (and surrounding properties) as well. If there is enough equity in the property, there is the potential to work out an arrangement that satisfies all parties and allows for a handsome profit. That's what pre-foreclosure investing is all about: buying the equity in the property, working out an arrangement with the lender and the homeowner, then selling the property for a profit.

Investors follow these basic guidelines to ensure a successful purchase and sale:

Locating Loans in Default

The Lis Pendens is the first public notice (document) that announces a loan in default, so it makes sense to start there. Access these notices at the county courthouse, newspapers that routinely advertise these notices or through a reputable Foreclosure Service Provider.

Evaluate Selections & Determine Potential

You know the default amount from the legal notices or service provider's information. Now you must estimate the property's market value. Subtract the default amount from the estimated market value to determine the gross equity in the property. This figure also reflects your gross profit potential. If there is little or no difference in the amount of debt and the market value, move on to another property. If there is a big difference, there may be enough equity in the property to make a sizeable profit.

Contact the Homeowner

This is easier said then done. The homeowner is probably being bombarded with letters and calls from attorneys and bill collectors and has creditors showing up at his door. The only way to contact the homeowner is by phone, mail or in person, and chances are you will have a difficult time getting in touch with him.

Start with mailings. Indicate in your letter that you are a private investor looking for property in that part of town. Let the property owner know that you may be able to help him with his financial problems.

Demonstrating an understanding the homeowner's dilemma will help your efforts. Indicate in your letter that you may be able to stop the foreclosure, save his credit rating and provide cash for use in paying his bills and/or for relocating.

Be professional and gracious in your correspondence. Invite the homeowner to call you at his convenience. If you don't hear from him in a reasonable amount of time, say three or four weeks, follow up with another letter, perhaps worded a bit more urgently. As you get closer to the auction date you may want to send two or more letters per month.

Follow up with phone calls if you can. Be courteous, never pushy. Never interview the owner on the phone. Merely state that in order to determine whether or not you can help him, you will need to meet with him at the property. Make sure he understands that the meeting will be more productive and less time consuming if he will have the loan, mortgage and insurance documents available, as well as the foreclosure notices.

If you are going to make an offer on the property, you must have the loan, ownership, and debt or lien information. You must also assess the condition of the property and the property owner. Combined with the market value and the default amount, you have all the ingredients necessary to formulate your offer.

If you feel comfortable with it, you can visit the property in person. You may be confronted by an angry homeowner. Be polite and leave if you are asked to. Never, under any circumstance, snoop around, inspect or generally trespass unlawfully on somebody's property.