The Historical Value of Real Estate
There are more quotes that have caught many an ear as well. As a rule, this feature of real estate as an investment, its limited availability, assures that it will appreciate, and no one has ever lost money on real estate over the long term. A possible exception may be the property contaminated at Love Canal.Over the short term, the word to investors is "caution." Real estate is illiquid and can fluctuate in value, but is usually fairly slow to react to downturns in other markets. The reason is, unlike financial markets, real estate markets are local, and will be affected most by local circumstance. Who could not have heard about outsourcing, and the subsequent decline in property values when the town's principal employer, usually a manufacturer, shut down.
Then there are those markets where property values seemed to be increasing in value with no end in sight. That in itself should be a signal that a downturn cannot be far off. Property values sky-rocket only in an inflationary economy or a speculative market. Take the recent collapse of the real estate bubble in Florida in example.
Smart market analysts saw the crash coming years in advance of the "pop" that preceded the sub-prime lending fiasco that followed literally on its heels.
Doh!
The Florida Real Estate Bubble
Short-Term v. Long-Term
Real Estate, A Leveraged Investment
Step Five: Eliminate the Year Majority of Financial Derivatives





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A Leveraged Investment
Typically, home buyers will put as much as 20% of a home's purchase price down, but the down payment can be 0% down for a VA buyer and 3% for an FHA buyer. Though the returns would be even more spectacular were we to look at the effect of leverage on the last two categories of buyers, the example would be a bit more complex or unrealistic for most home buyers.
Assuming then that a buyer puts 20% down on a home valued at $100,000, we are looking at an out-of-pocket investment of $20,000. Now, let's add closing costs of $1,800 to that, bringing the total initial investment to $21,800.
At this point, we need to consider an argument. Since the alternative to buying is renting, we should not count the mortgage payment as part of the investment. Everyone has to live somewhere, and it is an expense that more than balances out in a home owner's favor every April 15, as we will see.
During that five years, the home appreciated at a rate of 5% annually, and was sold for $127,500. Less the 6% broker's fee and another $2,000 in closing costs, and less the remaining balance on the loan ($73,652), the seller's net proceeds from the sale comes to $44,198. This is not the bottom line though.
Pay Yourself, or . . .
Pay the Man
Most renters pay as much or nearly as much for an apartment or a house they cannot call home as they would for a homeand have nothing to show for it when they move. Nor do they have any control over rising rents, or any aspect of their residence.
Add in the Income Tax Premium
Over that five years, the buyer would be able to claim a deduction of approximately $5,000 in interest payments and another $2,000 in property taxes each year. Assuming the buyer earned $45,000 per year and was in the 17% tax bracket, that's an annual premium of $1,190 on the investment ($5,950 total over 5 years)almost a 5.5% annual rate of return before the home is ever sold.
That's only the icing on the cake though, and the cake is exquisite.
The Grass Is Always Greener . . .
On the Side of the Hill You Own
The Bottom Line
In many markets, San Antonio for one, increases in property values are out-pacing income. Putting off buying a home should not be considered as an option. For most people it means lowering their expectations when they think they are ready, and foregoing the benefits until they do.






















