Optimism Bias = Hope

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What are the chances, statistics, odds, probability or studies suggesting?

My father used to read a little periodical called 'Bits and Pieces' while in the bathroom having a BM. He'd jokingly grab this tiny booklet and say to the five of us kids, 'Well, it's time for my Bits and Pieces.' (I think you get the analogy).

Bits and Pieces is known as 'the magazine that motivates the world' providing readers with practical tips, inspiration and insights into human nature. My father, an evironmentalist and an engineer, had more common sense than most. I wonder if those bathroom trips had something to do with it.

Intro photo source: aussiegall on flickr see here. / Licensed under Creative Commons

Now, my work entails things like reviewing studies, probabilities, percentages and things that people want to know like, 'What are the chances or how many times has this worked for someone else?'

This is a tough thing to answer. I believe that 'dangling the carrot of false hope' does a disservice to someone who needs to prepare for the worst. I'd personally hate to be blindsided by something that I might have otherwise been able to prepare myself (or my loved ones) for . . but then again, what if you (or I) CAN beat the odds?

It brings me to something my daughter asked me the other day. She asked, "Mommy, why do you always write 'hope it helps' at the bottom of your stuff?" And so, I had to think about this - and the reason that I just automatically write this phrase.

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My answer was

"Because what I start,
someone else might finish someday."
~ sousababy on Squidoo

“Is hope good for us?
Is false hope a bad thing?
What do you think?”

Have your say about this topic . . .

  • bloomingrose Apr 22, 2012 @ 3:42 pm | delete
    Who is to say that any hope is false?
  • sousababy Apr 22, 2012 @ 3:43 pm | delete
    Good point . .
  • spiritualquestjourneys Feb 22, 2012 @ 10:54 am | delete
    Hope keeps us moving forward
  • TeamSTM Feb 20, 2012 @ 3:46 pm | delete
    Yes, I agree with kathysart!
  • Tipi Feb 20, 2012 @ 2:17 pm | delete
    Faith, Hope and Love ... the greatest of these is Love!

    People can't live without hope. Hope is one of the things we all need.
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Won't make you wait, here's Michelle's video . . .

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What about trust and faith - are they the same?

These three remain: faith, hope & love. But the greatest of these is love. 1st Corinthians 13:13

Photo courtesy of Free-Photos.Biz

What is the optimism bias exactly?

While reading an article in the June 6th, 2011 edition of Time Magazine, an article by Tali Sharot caught my eye (on pg. 40, titled 'Hardwired for Hope'). To summarize, social and neuroscientists coined this phrase 'the optimism bias' to describe the findings that most of us are actually more optimistic than we are realistic.

[This book shown (right) by Tali Sharot is available for purchase within my article, further along. Tali Sharot has obtained her Ph.D. in psychology and neuroscience from New York University and is currently a research fellow at the Wellcome Trust Centre for Neuroimaging at University College London.]

This optimism bias is beneficial for us from the standpoint of evolution. Scientists believe that we have this neural protective mechanism and that without it, all humans would be mildly depressed. Incidentally, mild depression (dysthymia being the most common) is something I touched on this briefly in my lens titled, 'Not good enough - as is' (shown in sidebar).

Optimism Bias

is conclusively found worldwide,
in every race, country and spanning all socioeconomic classes.

So, let's look at the positives of it . . .

  • Protective - we may not have survived certain natural or man-made disasters / wars without remaining hopeful
  • Inspires - optimism is contagious, great leaders know that to create change, a positive attitude is paramount
  • Innovation - James Dyson (inventor of the Dyson vacuum) created 5,127 prototypes until he was pleased with his Dual Cyclone technology (the first vacuum that didn't lose suction)
  • Faith - motivates us to achieve, keep going, complete what we start and so on

Researchers from Duke University conclude that optimists:

a) work longer hours
b) earn more money
c) save more money
d) more likely to remarry
(have same rate of divorce though)

Any thoughts to share about optimism?

  • TeamSTM Feb 20, 2012 @ 3:49 pm | delete
    Well I almost agree with, except for that divorce area. For those who pay attention to the Small but very important signs, catching those issues before they become big ones will keep the marriage going strong and things can freely flow for both partners! :)
  • kathysart Feb 19, 2012 @ 12:28 pm | delete
    Sometimes I need double doses of it that is for sure.
  • allenwebstarme Feb 17, 2012 @ 12:14 am | delete
    Life will be meaningless if don't stay optimism.
  • aesta1 Feb 10, 2012 @ 3:44 am | delete
    Yes, optimism especially when most things you hear and read are so depressing.
  • wheresthekarma Feb 9, 2012 @ 3:17 am | delete
    I was happy to see your lense featured!!
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Foolish risk if you fail - yet brave if you survive . . .

Photo found on Google

Photo source: The Running of the Bulls / Guide of Traveller - read the entire article here.

What about the negatives?

If we continually believe the notion that 'everything works out in the end' or 'that all will be fine' we might be overlooking important risks. Some people felt that they were somehow able to overcome things without applying reason or logic. A study leader, Leslie Martin, Ph.D., professor of psychology at La Sierra University found that those with too much of an optimistic outlook 'tended to be heavier drinkers, were more likely to smoke and had riskier hobbies.'

Pattern recognition is clouded too if someone remains far too optimistic. In my work about adult bullying, studies reveal that when warning signs are not heeded - an organization or business unwittingly rewards the adult or online bully. The thinking that there are only a few bad apples or that 's/he has changed' will keep an employer locked into an abusive relationship with the golden bully. Often, the bully escalates his or her behavior once given a second (or third or fourth) chance - the employer may not even be aware (since 40% of the time bullying is not reported). To read more of my work about this, see sidebar.

Being suckered into things - like addictions (gambling and other risky behavior). Being too optimistic (re: betting the farm) can result in financial and personal ruin for those who take unrealistic risks.

The bottom line

Be realistic but don't give up!

Important!

The End Result - do we really need to see it?

What if I never live to see the end result of the fruits of my labor? Does that mean it doesn't count? What if your daughter or my daughter continues where you (or I) left off . . and some part of it mattered, even just a wee bit?
Perhaps it would be enough to tip the scales in a positive direction.

My dear friend Poutine wrote about this too . . .

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Hoping someone is alive on the other end . . .

Photo courtesy of Free-Photos.Biz

"The dream never dies,

just the dreamer.
The dream never dies if it's strong." ~
The Cooper Brothers (1978 song)

What about those who face danger constantly?

Photo courtesy of Free-Photos.Biz

What do you think about being too optimistic?

  • TeamSTM Feb 20, 2012 @ 3:51 pm | delete
    Yet another point made that many missed, there a Balance to everything; the key is to find what works and maintain it! :)
  • kathysart Feb 19, 2012 @ 12:29 pm | delete
    It may be careless but I side on being overly optimistic than the opposite.
  • ptnjust007 Feb 10, 2012 @ 1:07 am | delete
    Too optimistc is not good
  • gypsyman27 Feb 8, 2012 @ 2:41 pm | delete
    I'm not sure one can be 'too' optimistic, I think one could be foolishly optimistic. The two are different in that optimism is a good emotion, foolishly optimistic is just that, foolishness. See you around the galaxy...
  • TheLittleCardShop Feb 8, 2012 @ 11:43 am | delete
    Too optimistc is not good you just have to measure your optimism. Extremes are never good. Too realistic can sometimes be negative too. When you are optimistic you try harder.
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Johann Wolfgang von Goethe quote I love . . .

"All truly wise thoughts have been thought already thousands of times; but to make them truly ours, we must think them over again honestly, until they take root in our personal experience."

Poster image courtesy of Amazon.com

Helen Adams Keller (1880 - 1968) American author, political activist and lecturer. She was the first deafblind person to earn a Bachelor of Arts degree. Keller's teacher, Anne Sullivan, broke through the isolation imposed by a near complete lack of language. Yay teachers!

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One of the best portrayals of Helen Keller's life

Melissa Gilbert plays Helen Keller and Patty Duke stars as Annie Sullivan in this Emmy-winning performance that educated and inspired a nation for generations to come.

The Miracle Worker

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This is the story of how Keller's teacher, Anne Sullivan, broke through the isolation imposed by a near complete lack of language, allowing the girl to blossom as she learned to communicate. It has become widely known through the dramatic depictions of the play and film The Miracle Worker. DVD came out in 2000 and was given a 4.5-Star rating. Incredible acting.

More in-depth products about optimism bias . .

as always, in order from lower to higher in price:

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Now available on Amazon, Bits & Pieces . . .

5-Star rated. I found this series (used prices are extremely affordable):

You're going to love reading these pages again and again from the series of motivational hardbound books with the best stories, quotes, and anecdotes from Bits & Pieces, the pocket magazine that has been inspiring people for over 35 years around the globe.
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Are YOU living life, I mean - to the fullest?

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"When you got nothing,
you got nothing to lose."
~ Bob Dylan (born 1941)
lyric from his hit song
'Like a Rolling Stone'

Love, how powerful is love? What do you think?

Photo courtesy of Free-Photos.Biz

Does love help us or make us foolishly optimistic?

  • TeamSTM Feb 20, 2012 @ 3:53 pm | delete
    Love is the Magic and Power for Hope for a Better Tomorrow, Plus is just Infectious! :D
  • kathysart Feb 19, 2012 @ 12:29 pm | delete
    Love is the ultimate high.
  • ptnjust007 Feb 10, 2012 @ 1:08 am | delete
    both
  • gypsyman27 Feb 8, 2012 @ 2:44 pm | delete
    I've been foolishly optimistic in love on occasion, but for the most part love is essential in our lives and it doesn't on it's own make us foolishly optimistic. See you around the galaxy...
  • MaxReily Sep 2, 2011 @ 11:20 pm | delete
    Without a doubt, love can make us do foolish things sometimes, but real love can only improve us. The power of love is a force to be reckoned with--it can accomplish more than we might imagine.
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We'll cross that bridge when we come to it . . .

Photo courtesy of Free-Photos.Biz

Needless worry, any thoughts to share?

  • kathysart Feb 19, 2012 @ 12:30 pm | delete
    I worry all the time just about everything.. STOP IT KATHY I always say to myself. I try.
  • jimbarnes Feb 9, 2012 @ 11:40 am | delete
    there is no need to worry,turn all your problems over to god pastor jimbarnes
  • gypsyman27 Feb 8, 2012 @ 2:46 pm | delete
    On love and optimism I say that one cannot have enough of either. More often than not, the worse things don't come to pass, usually you can count on the positive things to dominate a life. That's the way it's been for me. Love to you Rose. See you around the galaxy...
  • MaxReily Sep 2, 2011 @ 11:22 pm | delete
    I found it comforting when I read somewhere that the vast majority of the things we torment ourselves worrying about never come to pass, and realized that it was true.
  • Tipi Aug 28, 2011 @ 10:11 am | delete
    Each day seems to have enough of its own and worrying will never get us where we want to be unless that's having health and relationship problems.
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Kept on my fridge:

"If everything were to turn out as I wanted it to, I would never experience anything new. My life would be an endless repetition of stale successes." ~ Hugh Prather
(1938 - 2010) US author, minister and counselor

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(as always, feel free to leave a question or suggestion too):

  • bloomingrose Apr 22, 2012 @ 3:43 pm | delete
    One of my children has the optimism bias, the other does not (because of past difficult experiences.) My first child bounces back so much easier, and seems to enjoy life so much more - no matter what.
  • spiritualquestjourneys Feb 22, 2012 @ 10:55 am | delete
    Lovely lens. I HOPE you do more of this kind :-)
  • myamya Feb 22, 2012 @ 8:52 am | delete
    Very nice lens! thumbs up!
  • TeamSTM Feb 20, 2012 @ 3:54 pm | delete
    I like this Lens, it give a Different spin or insight on Hope!
  • kathysart Feb 19, 2012 @ 12:31 pm | delete
    This is such a thoughtful and caring lens. Thank you for creating it as it blessed me today.
  • cffutah Feb 15, 2012 @ 1:50 pm | delete
    I'm happy I stopped by, how about that for being optimistic! No really, I'm glad I read this ... *blessed*
  • aj2008 Feb 11, 2012 @ 5:53 pm | delete
    Congratulations on having this page featured on the Home Page of Squidoo! Well deserved :)
  • ptnjust007 Feb 10, 2012 @ 1:09 am | delete
    good lens
  • rioguzman Feb 9, 2012 @ 11:10 pm | delete
    We need to use our common sense, which is not that common.
  • gypsyman27 Feb 8, 2012 @ 2:48 pm | delete
    I enjoyed this page, caused me to think of love and optimism in different ways. You have a way with writing of this style Rose. I know I will get an education when I read anything you've written, that's a good thing! All my love, for you and yours'. See you around the galaxy...
  • greenlungsofpoland Feb 8, 2012 @ 6:11 am | delete
    Love it going to come back to this one for more research bookmarked and shared
  • girlfriendfactory Feb 8, 2012 @ 3:26 am | delete
    I think I'm realistically optimistic. I see no reason to go around being a sourpuss about things but I base my life on the reality presented to me (because we all know that none of know the whole picture). So I deal with what's here right now in this moment. I know what's important to me and I prioritize my world according tho those things trying to keep from being too hypocritical at any given time. You know what they say, don't take life so seriously, you don't make it out alive! ;)

    This is more than worthy of a Flyby Winging and it can be found among the other blessed lenses for today at Have Wings Will Bless! They may call me an aimless wanderer, but not all who wander are aimless and I'm glad my aim was good when I wandered upon this. ~Ren
  • Mainelyhappy Feb 6, 2012 @ 6:14 pm | delete
    I enjoyed your work here very much! Thank you, (from an optimist!)
  • DANCINGCOWGIRLDESIGN Feb 6, 2012 @ 10:12 am | delete
    Lots of good info and lots of good insight from other lensmasters.
  • Wednesday_Elf Feb 6, 2012 @ 8:42 am | delete
    I've always believed that 'things happen for a reason' and that 'things happen when they are supposed to happen' -- perhaps not exactly when you wanted and the way you first envisioned, but often better in a different way. Very interesting thoughts on hope and optimism here. Congrats on having this lens featured on the Front Page of Squidoo today!
  • Spook Sep 5, 2011 @ 1:24 pm | delete
    I never answered a lot of it as decided to put it here. I personally think everything is decided on fate. So you can hope all you want but if it's not in your destiny, it's not going to happen and the same applies to the other things. I loved the Helen Keller quote and poster and must say I had never heard of that before. I loved to be able to think and you gave me that opportunity here for which I'm thankful.
  • MaxReily Sep 2, 2011 @ 11:30 pm | delete
    Very thoughtful and thought provoking lens. You're so good at that! Excellently done!
  • poutine Aug 29, 2011 @ 10:35 am | delete
    Thanks so much for including my "Are You A Thrillionaire?" in this excellent lens of yours.
    Very much appreciated and duplicating.
  • Tipi Aug 28, 2011 @ 10:15 am | delete
    I think I'm a realistic, optimistic idealist. Very thought provoking and well done, as usual! Oh now, look here....Squidoo apparently likes this a lot, my security word is 'splendid', I'll go with that!
  • sidther Aug 27, 2011 @ 12:03 pm | delete
    Hello! I dropped by! This was great! I always love how you write "hope this helps!"
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